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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.470 | $18.33 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 44 |
| $0.983 |
| $43.25 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.983 | $43.25 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 47 | $0.860 | $40.42 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 34 | $0.860 | $29.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.330 | $43.89 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 16 | $0.963 | $15.41 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.870 | $5.22 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.964 | $39.52 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.920 | $39.56 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.885 | $43.37 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.885 | $43.37 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.110 | $4.07 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.050 | $2.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.053 | $2.33 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.026 | $0.13 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.025 | $2.18 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.025 | $3.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 56 | $0.710 | $39.76 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.983 | $43.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.982 | $43.21 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 44 | $0.908 | $39.95 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.936 | $43.99 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.936 | $43.99 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.964 | $43.38 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.970 | $43.65 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.788 | $44.13 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 139 | $0.014 | $1.95 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 139 | $0.015 | $2.09 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.490 | $11.76 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.300 | $18.6 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.056 | $3.98 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.560 | $36.96 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.226 | $8.59 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 59 | $0.737 | $43.48 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.959 | $19.18 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 38 | $0.420 | $15.96 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.926 | $43.52 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.927 | $43.57 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.042 | $1.72 | May 27, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.300 | $13.2 | May 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.340 | $14.96 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.227 | $20.2 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.620 | $11.16 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.610 | $10.98 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 34 | $0.857 | $29.14 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.857 | $29.14 | May 23, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | May 21, 2026 |