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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.74 | $0.043 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.290 | $24.65 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 0.19 |
| $0.068 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 85 |
| $0.360 |
| $30.6 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 37 | $0.961 | $35.56 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 37 | $0.959 | $35.48 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.03 | $0.120 | $0.48 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 5.35 | $0.860 | $4.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 41 | $0.840 | $34.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.180 | $0.54 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.044 | $1.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.810 | $34.02 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.180 | $1.44 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.930 | $5.58 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.140 | $11.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.150 | $12.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 33 | $0.910 | $30.03 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 33 | $0.910 | $30.03 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 48 | $0.170 | $8.16 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 48 | $0.170 | $8.16 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.912 | $29.18 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 65 | $0.440 | $28.6 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 8 | $0.440 | $3.52 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.640 | $8.96 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.640 | $28.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.120 | $11.28 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.160 | $3.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.05 | $0.150 | $2.71 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.972 | $32.08 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.988 | $34.58 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.310 | $23.87 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.310 | $23.87 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 22 | $0.960 | $21.12 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.043 | $3.22 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 63 | $0.550 | $34.65 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 33 | $0.955 | $31.51 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.043 | $3.01 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.044 | $1.19 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.043 | $1.85 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 36 | $0.973 | $35.03 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.974 | $35.06 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 34 | $0.690 | $23.46 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 46 | $0.690 | $31.74 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 33 | $0.957 | $31.58 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 19 | $0.989 | $18.79 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.765 | $34.43 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.767 | $38.35 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.972 | $37.91 | May 31, 2026 |