Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:14 PM UTC.
Analytics
Vaugirard is down $60.5 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:14 PM UTC.
$40.31 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from Jul 15, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 120.01 | $0.500 | $106.21 | +$46.2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.180 | $8 | 3h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 09:56 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 16:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 16:14 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 09:56 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $654.27 and losing ones cost $467.71 across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $103.95 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $304.02 on “Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 81 markets. Its open positions are worth $414.17 across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 114.05 |
| $0.491 |
| $58.79 |
| +$2.79 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 96.77 | $0.620 | $58.55 | -$1.45 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 363.77 | $0.130 | $49.11 | +$1.82 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.140 | $48.21 | -$1.79 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 75.92 | $0.650 | $47.45 | -$1.9 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | Yes | 36.76 | $0.680 | $36.75 | +$11.75 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 627.45 | $0.016 | $9.1 | -$0.9 |
| sell |
| 41.66 |
| $0.170 |
| $7.08 |
| 3h ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?Yes | buy | 36.76 | $0.680 | $25 | 6h ago |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.600 | $25 | 6h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 53.57 | $0.930 | $49.82 | 6h ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.620 | $60 | 1d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | sell | 378.04 | $0.170 | $64.27 | 1d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 114.05 | $0.491 | $56 | 1d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?Yes | sell | 56.72 | $0.990 | $56.15 | 5d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?Yes | buy | 56.72 | $0.610 | $34.6 | 6d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 49.42 | $0.718 | $35.48 | 6d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? AND Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? AND Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | buy | 42.35 | $0.746 | $31.6 | 9d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 56.33 | $0.700 | $39.43 | 9d ago |
 OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 56.34 | $0.710 | $40 | 9d ago |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | 9d ago |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | 10d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.100 | $20.83 | 10d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 75.92 | $0.650 | $49.35 | 11d ago |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 229.35 | $0.221 | $50.69 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.840 | $45 | 13d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.130 | $25 | 13d ago |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.220 | $73.33 | 13d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes | buy | 107.41 | $0.540 | $58 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.130 | $40.63 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 230.48 | $0.090 | $20.74 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.55 | $0.865 | $4.8 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 229.36 | $0.218 | $50 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 119.73 | $0.940 | $112.55 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 185.73 | $0.150 | $27.86 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.710 | $54.61 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 363.77 | $0.130 | $47.29 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 230.49 | $0.130 | $30 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 49.17 | $0.999 | $49.12 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.500 | $60 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes | sell | 59.21 | $0.997 | $59.03 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes | buy | 59.21 | $0.760 | $45 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 43.88 | $0.798 | $35 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 278.64 | $0.578 | $161.05 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 195.69 | $0.418 | $81.8 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 195.69 | $0.218 | $42.66 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.