Analytics
Vaugirard is down $60.5 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 120.01 | $0.500 | $106.21 | +$46.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 09:56 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 17:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 17:22 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 09:56 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $654.27 and losing ones cost $467.71 across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $103.95 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $304.02 on “Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
It has traded 81 markets. Its open positions are worth $415.78 across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 96.77 |
| $0.620 |
| $60.48 |
| +$0.48 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 114.05 | $0.491 | $58.45 | +$2.45 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 363.77 | $0.130 | $49.11 | +$1.82 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.140 | $48.21 | -$1.79 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 75.92 | $0.650 | $47.45 | -$1.9 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | Yes | 36.76 | $0.680 | $36.76 | +$11.76 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 627.45 | $0.016 | $9.1 | -$0.9 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
