Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 36.22 | $0.966 | $35.08 | +$0.08 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20.83 |
| $0.738 |
| $17.39 |
| +$2.01 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20.86 | $0.527 | $10.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | Yes | 11.03 | $0.907 | $10.52 | +$0.52 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10.45 | +$0.45 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16.35 | $0.680 | $7.6 | -$3.52 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? | Yes | 7.81 | $0.640 | $7.5 | +$2.5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 6.74 | $0.890 | $5.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 6.69 | $0.747 | $5.71 | +$0.71 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5.42 | +$0.42 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 5.81 | $0.861 | $5.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 6.33 | $0.790 | $4.91 | -$0.09 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 5.22 | $0.920 | $4.88 | +$0.08 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 9.62 | $0.520 | $4.86 | -$0.14 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.720 | $4.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 9.62 | $0.312 | $3.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 3.22 | $0.933 | $3 | +$0 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.36 | $0.560 | $2.28 | -$0.72 |
 Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.520 | $1.83 | -$0.17 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.690 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 5.22 |
| $0.920 |
| $4.8 |
| 5d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 5d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | 5d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 4?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.54 | $0.931 | $3.3 | 11d ago |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 6.69 | $0.747 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.94 | $0.680 | $8.12 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | 14d ago |
| Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | 14d ago |
 Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes | buy | 11.78 | $0.934 | $11 | 15d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.933 | $3 | 17d ago |
 Will Treant Protector Be the Most Banned Hero at The International 2026?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.999 | $3.03 | 17d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.720 | $4 | 19d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | 19d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.861 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Will Treant Protector Be the Most Banned Hero at The International 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | 23d ago |
 Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | 25d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | 25d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | 25d ago |
 Will "The Odyssey" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 21m?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 25d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 22.86 | $0.875 | $20 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | 25d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.67 | $0.807 | $7 | 28d ago |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 7.32 | $0.999 | $7.31 | 28d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.42 | $0.720 | $10.38 | 28d ago |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | sell | 10.48 | $0.999 | $10.47 | 28d ago |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.915 | $6.7 | 28d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.48 | $0.648 | $4.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.68 | $0.651 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 2.32 | $0.861 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |