
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 34.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 54 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 23 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 65.5% on 23 Aug 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 31% on 1 Jul 2026. $663.98K traded over the market's life.
333 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 23 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 52.5% |
| 23 Aug 2026 | 65.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 127.69K |
| coali10 | Yes | 69.98K |
| jianlai001 | Yes | 31.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at The International 2026 tournament, scheduled for August 13, 2026 - August 23, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the winner of The International 2026 is not determined by September 6, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-international-2026-winner-20260629212545745
| Yes |
| 11.11K |
| Richidd | Yes | 8.3K |
| lovelycat | Yes | 5.88K |
| znayder3333 | Yes | 5.56K |
| carlaAB | Yes | 4.25K |
| euro-catcher | Yes | 3.51K |
| Petty-Roof | Yes | 3.4K |
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