Analytics
lucasadonisryan is down $1.12K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | No | 125.62 | $0.091 | $116.13 | +$104.7 |
 Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
33 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 08:33 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 08:33 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $290.34 and losing ones cost $927.04 across the latest 50 settled positions. 22% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $84.34 on “Will Solana dip to $40 in June?” (Yes); the largest loss, $157.4 on “Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?” (No).
It has traded 546 markets. Its open positions are worth $342.46 across 33 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.080 |
| $53 |
| +$37 |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.070 | $23 | +$9 |
 Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $22 | +$2 |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.051 | $13.9 | +$3.63 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 308.77 | $0.070 | $12.66 | -$8.95 |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.050 | $12 | +$2 |
 XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.030 | $10.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $9 | -$11 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 144 | $0.080 | $7.63 | -$3.89 |
| Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.020 | $6.4 | +$2.4 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.060 | $6.3 | -$5.7 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.060 | $5.1 | -$6.9 |
 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.994 | $5 | +$0.03 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.981 | $4.94 | +$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 160.39 | $0.060 | $3.93 | -$5.69 |
 Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65.81 | $0.050 | $3.65 | +$0.36 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 273.61 | $0.030 | $2.87 | -$5.27 |
| Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 147.89 | $0.050 | $2.81 | -$4.58 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.031 | $2.7 | -$3.5 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.048 | $2.6 | -$7 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.090 | $2.5 | -$15.5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.024 | $2.5 | -$2.3 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.060 | $2.1 | -$9.9 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.034 | $1.8 | -$11.6 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
