Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 4.08 | $0.490 | $3.22 | +$1.22 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 2d ago |
 |
Cosmic Vector 3BFF is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #946,313 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$0.01 observed lifetime PnL, 55 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 48.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x64ea4c629a2e4e79874ed3326f41876cf1103bff
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 3.64 |
| $0.550 |
| $2.89 |
| +$0.89 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2.62 | +$0.62 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.420 | $0.86 | -$1.14 |
| buy |
| 5.71 |
| $0.350 |
| $2 |
| 3d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 11d ago |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | 11d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.54 | $0.787 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 26d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 14?Down | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.511 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 2.43 | $0.600 | $1.46 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.