Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 17.54 | $0.570 | $8.16 | -$1.84 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | 12d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 90.91 |
| $0.110 |
| $3.32 |
| -$6.68 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 36.23 | $0.138 | $2.92 | -$2.08 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 440.29 | $0.045 | $1.98 | -$18.02 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 25 | $0.200 | $1.63 | -$3.38 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.068 | $0.65 | -$6.15 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 63.54 | $0.079 | $0.38 | -$4.62 |
| buy |
| 90.91 |
| $0.110 |
| $10 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 258.47 | $0.039 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.998 | $19.19 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.140 | $2.69 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.124 | $12.4 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.055 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?No | buy | 47.85 | $0.209 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsYes | buy | 30 | $0.340 | $10.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | sell | 69.44 | $0.169 | $11.74 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.072 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.068 | $6.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.82 | $0.300 | $8.65 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 63.54 | $0.079 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 36.23 | $0.138 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 122.99 | $0.041 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.058 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 53.48 | $0.066 | $3.53 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 13.99 | $0.358 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.073 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.027 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.41 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by February 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 238.57 | $0.021 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.129 | $3 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |