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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | sell | 195.22 | $0.080 | $15.65 | Mar 11, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.400 |
| $40 |
| Mar 11, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.550 | $8.25 | Mar 5, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.550 | $4.27 | Mar 5, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 200.44 | $0.499 | $100 | Mar 3, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 17.56 | $0.430 | $7.55 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 399.23 | $0.160 | $63.88 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 401.57 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 111 | $0.020 | $2.22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 266.1 | $0.150 | $39.92 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 150.56 | $0.108 | $16.26 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.150 | $9.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 136.36 | $0.044 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.150 | $11.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.062 | $3.08 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.021 | $2.14 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.360 | $0.36 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 711.15 | $0.200 | $142.23 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 225.4 | $0.200 | $45.08 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 270.88 | $0.200 | $54.06 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 251.59 | $0.018 | $4.53 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 303.03 | $0.028 | $8.48 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp | buy | 2.56 | $0.380 | $0.97 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 251.59 | $0.015 | $3.77 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.033 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?Yes | sell | 60.13 | $0.241 | $14.48 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?Yes | buy | 60.13 | $0.228 | $13.69 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 27.39 | $0.030 | $0.82 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 1?Yes | sell | 60.96 | $0.024 | $1.44 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 1?Yes | sell | 34.57 | $0.026 | $0.9 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 1?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 1?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 1?Yes | buy | 135.54 | $0.015 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 53.76 | $0.490 | $26.34 | Jan 29, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.210 | $11.29 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | sell | 17.63 | $0.640 | $11.28 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 17.63 | $0.630 | $11.11 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | sell | 237 | $0.033 | $7.91 | Jan 26, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 548 | $0.180 | $98.64 | Jan 17, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.190 | $20.14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 77.37 | $0.520 | $40.23 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 109.2 | $0.150 | $16.38 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 88 | $0.164 | $14.46 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.210 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 508.52 | $0.209 | $106.39 | Jan 14, 2026 |