Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 500.21 |
| $0.005 |
| $2.5 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.025 | $7.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.016 | $16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 926.39 | $0.054 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.89K | $0.053 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 87.29 | $0.057 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 402.02 | $0.174 | $70 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes | buy | 109.01 | $0.229 | $25 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes | buy | 482.78 | $0.207 | $100 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 338.02 | $0.148 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 67.5 | $0.741 | $50 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 37.31 | $0.134 | $5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14.04 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.95 | $0.300 | $6.59 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.004 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 482 | $0.010 | $4.82 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 357 | $0.014 | $5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.015 | $7.5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.017 | $8.5 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.024 | $24 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.034 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.040 | $4.84 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 319.68 | $0.041 | $13.11 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 348.84 | $0.043 | $15 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Austria recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.070 | $0.1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 201.13 | $0.050 | $10 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 99.26 | $0.400 | $39.7 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.006 | $6 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.190 | $2.44 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.072 | $5.76 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 241.2 | $0.076 | $18.33 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.078 | $2.81 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 199.27 | $0.300 | $59.78 | Sep 23, 2025 |