Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 6 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 33.5% on 6 Aug 2025 and the low 0.3% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 14.5% on 7 Aug 2025. $50.59K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 150 points · 6 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2025 | 33.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bangshok | Yes | 2.5K |
| singularityman | Yes | 2.06K |
| obscur0x | Yes | 693.04 |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 665.66 |
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 621.66 |
| Newshound | Yes | 543.59 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 397 |
| tsihkodiives | Yes | 330.92 |
| Tonymontana96 | Yes | 271.47 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 268.9 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
