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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.995 |
| $1 |
| Feb 24, 2026 |
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $270 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.942 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.966 | $2 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.968 | $2.7 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.987 | $4.94 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.429 | $2.57 | Apr 3, 2025 |
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 5.44 | $0.956 | $5.2 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 3.86K | $0.022 | $84.98 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 13.3 | $0.949 | $12.62 | Nov 17, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 13.31 | $0.950 | $12.64 | Nov 17, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 23.68 | $0.370 | $8.76 | Oct 24, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.02K | $0.599 | $1.21K | Oct 24, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.600 | $1.21K | Oct 24, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 23.68 | $0.380 | $9 | Oct 24, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.978 | $19.95 | Oct 15, 2024 |