Latest trade
Oct 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:25 AM UTC.
Analytics
simpsonsprediction is down $1.25K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 43 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:25 AM UTC.
$7.35 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 21 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from Jul 16, 2026 UTC to Oct 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.013 | $17.22 | 21d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-05 14:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 02:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 02:25 UTC
polymarket positions
44 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-05 14:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $159.28 and losing ones cost $952.86 across 43 settled positions. 7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $138.79 on “Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $316.7 on “Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Oct 2026. It has traded 70 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 96.67 |
| $0.036 |
| $3.49 |
| Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | sell | 565 | $0.001 | $0.57 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | buy | 565 | $0.008 | $4.52 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | sell | 1.49K | $0.001 | $1.49 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | buy | 280 | $0.004 | $1.12 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.003 | $7.06 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | sell | 297.92 | $0.030 | $8.94 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | buy | 195.53 | $0.038 | $7.43 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | buy | 102.4 | $0.025 | $2.56 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | sell | 678 | $0.004 | $2.71 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 678 | $0.005 | $3.39 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | sell | 136.86 | $0.025 | $3.42 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | buy | 136.86 | $0.086 | $11.77 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.002 | $2.86 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?No | buy | 6.97K | $0.002 | $12.14 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.46K | $0.005 | $7.28 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.007 | $10.19 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.39K | $0.007 | $10.4 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.017 | $23.78 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 893.57 | $0.028 | $24.89 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 893.58 | $0.026 | $23.24 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 193.8 | $0.041 | $7.97 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 193.8 | $0.050 | $9.69 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.9 | $0.650 | $9.69 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.9 | $0.710 | $10.58 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 51.92 | $0.204 | $10.59 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.92 | $0.239 | $12.41 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | sell | 2.14K | $0.006 | $12.82 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 2.09K | $0.008 | $16.69 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | sell | 200 | $0.004 | $0.78 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 200 | $0.009 | $1.8 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | sell | 526.18 | $0.004 | $1.99 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 108.67 | $0.015 | $1.63 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 417.52 | $0.044 | $18.54 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | buy | 140.76 | $0.106 | $14.94 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | buy | 128.07 | $0.039 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 20 and 25 minutes long?Yes | buy | 79.31 | $0.029 | $2.3 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 101.09 | $0.023 | $2.28 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?Yes | sell | 2.16K | $0.001 | $2.4 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.007 | $11.85 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?Yes | buy | 400.64 | $0.062 | $24.78 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes | sell | 49.59 | $0.095 | $4.71 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes | buy | 19.59 | $0.074 | $1.45 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.111 | $3.32 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.500 | $26 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.110 | $5.72 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 292.01 | $0.028 | $8.11 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 292.02 | $0.042 | $12.36 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.