Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 42% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 51% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 8.5% on 30 May 2026. $28.78K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 10:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 20 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 42.0% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cowcat | Yes | 3.01K |
| omnibus-00c8ef | Yes | 224.07 |
| simpsonsprediction | Yes | 140.76 |
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-perform-at-world-cup-halftime-show
| Yes |
| 127.19 |
| Zesty-Ruby | Yes | 62.1 |
| Ancient-Gaffer | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 49.44 |
| Juicy-Eardrum | Yes | 25.27 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 17.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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