Latest trade
Oct 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 7:15 PM UTC.
Analytics
SicMundusCreatusEst is down $1.62K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 7:15 PM UTC.
$6.24 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 337 markets; 97.0% were buys. They run from Jun 13, 2026 UTC to Oct 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.27K | $0.130 | $178.08 | -$117.85 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 4 - 1 Kocaelispor?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.068 | $5 | 4d ago |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 15:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-15 19:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-15 19:15 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-11 15:56 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $755.2 and losing ones cost $1.19K across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $422.15 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $582.95 on “Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?” (No).
It first traded on 4 Jan 2026 and most recently on 11 Oct 2026. It has traded 7,381 markets. Its open positions are worth $178.08 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 111.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $10 |
| 4d ago |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | 4d ago |
 UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)Alden Coria | buy | 115.91 | $0.430 | $49.84 | 11d ago |
| UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card) AND UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | buy | 73.19 | $0.065 | $4.78 | 11d ago |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds AND O/U 2.5 Rounds AND O/U 1.5 Rounds | buy | 52.96 | $0.181 | $9.61 | 11d ago |
| UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) AND O/U 1.5 Rounds AND UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims) | buy | 61.08 | $0.157 | $9.6 | 13d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | buy | 19.29 | $0.149 | $2.88 | 18d ago |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes | sell | 299.79 | $0.030 | $8.99 | 18d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)Raul Rosas Jr. | buy | 102.6 | $0.580 | $59.51 | 18d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Vanessa Demopoulos | buy | 20.92 | $0.120 | $2.51 | 19d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) | buy | 200.35 | $0.192 | $38.45 | 19d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | buy | 102.55 | $0.235 | $24.08 | 19d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira (Middleweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | buy | 101.93 | $0.227 | $23.11 | 19d ago |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds AND UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | buy | 50.54 | $0.384 | $19.4 | 19d ago |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes | sell | 769.19 | $0.090 | $69.23 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 63.39 | $0.560 | $35.5 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 152.31 | $0.039 | $5.94 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 61.47 | $0.520 | $31.96 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 210.41 | $0.010 | $2.1 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?Yes | buy | 52.32 | $0.110 | $5.76 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims) AND Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain? | buy | 120.83 | $0.032 | $3.81 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 51.81 | $0.300 | $15.54 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 51.28 | $0.497 | $25.51 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 101.01 | $0.800 | $80.81 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50.5 | $0.800 | $40.4 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder | buy | 34.15 | $0.450 | $15.37 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 25.92 | $0.290 | $7.52 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Paddy Pimblett | buy | 51.33 | $0.480 | $24.64 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)Mario Bautista | buy | 15.44 | $0.420 | $6.48 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder | buy | 19.47 | $0.510 | $9.93 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under | buy | 14.44 | $0.380 | $5.49 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Over | buy | 102.91 | $0.055 | $5.66 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.250 | $1.28 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)King Green | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime? | buy | 145.83 | $0.060 | $8.75 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.320 | $3.26 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?Yes | buy | 20.51 | $0.160 | $3.28 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.