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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.180 | $1.13 | 7d ago |
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| sell |
| 8.5 |
| $0.450 |
| $3.83 |
| 7d ago |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6.37 | $0.890 | $5.67 | 7d ago |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.500 | $1.35 | 7d ago |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.530 | $1.86 | 7d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.630 | $5.04 | 7d ago |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.860 | $5.31 | 7d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.510 | $4.08 | 7d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.540 | $5.86 | 7d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.5 | $0.410 | $2.67 | 7d ago |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Butler" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.400 | $3.26 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.24 | $0.247 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.640 | $5.07 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.710 | $4.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.760 | $4.62 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 15, 2026 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?Up | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of July 13 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.660 | $4.69 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.730 | $4.93 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.61 | $0.360 | $2.74 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.59 | $0.269 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jul 7, 2026 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?No | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.450 | $3.96 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.7 | $0.356 | $2.74 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.460 | $3.91 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of June 22 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.440 | $1.19 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.720 | $4.38 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.460 | $3.68 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.610 | $4.88 | Jun 14, 2026 |