
Resolved No on 19 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 19 Jun 2026, the highest close was 38.5% on 18 Jun 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 14 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 20.5% on 19 Jun 2026. $502.3K traded over the market's life.
333 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 5:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 19 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 16.5% |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 250.67K |
| standupman | Yes | 10.42K |
| Elonurmom | Yes | 6.46K |
| alohaa | Yes | 6.46K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 12 12:00 PM ET to June 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-12-june-19
| OnlySafeBets | Yes | 5.47K |
| Mr-Ferrari | Yes | 5K |
| Keen Atlas 7F72 | Yes | 5K |
| junseokletsgo | Yes | 5K |
| Papuasus | Yes | 4.67K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 4.63K |
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