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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 93.72 | $0.320 | $77.32 | +$47.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.72 | $0.530 | $29 | May 8, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.200 |
| $15.25 |
| +$5.25 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 103.45 | $0.290 | $13.97 | -$16.03 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 35.21 | $0.710 | $5.11 | -$19.89 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 101.52 | $0.099 | $4.01 | -$5.99 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 75 | $0.200 | $2.89 | -$12.11 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.230 | $2.11 | -$7.89 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 40 | $0.250 | $0.86 | -$9.14 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.200 |
| $10 |
| May 8, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 252.1 | $0.200 | $50.42 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 157.66 | $0.560 | $88.29 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes | sell | 42.22 | $0.270 | $11.4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | sell | 43.54 | $0.260 | $11.32 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.5 | $0.465 | $10 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 43.15 | $0.341 | $14.73 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes | buy | 42.22 | $0.355 | $15 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.290 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 93.72 | $0.320 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.044 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.07 | $0.453 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 101.52 | $0.099 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 33.52 | $0.179 | $6 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.21 | $0.710 | $25 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.360 | $24 | Mar 9, 2026 |