Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $0.21 | -$1.29 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.250 | $3.91 | 7d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 14.7 |
| $0.170 |
| $2.5 |
| 7d ago |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.100 | $0.6 | 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.71 | $0.480 | $4.18 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | 7d ago |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No | sell | 6 | $0.100 | $0.6 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.83 | $0.130 | $1.54 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.450 | $3.6 | 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.350 | $2.8 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.800 | $5.13 | 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.690 | $4.9 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.530 | $4.77 | 7d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.75 | $0.420 | $2.84 | 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.540 | $4.86 | 7d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | sell | 7.35 | $0.800 | $5.88 | 7d ago |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.11 | $0.770 | $6.24 | 7d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | 12d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.510 | $1.19 | 14d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.760 | $4.59 | 19d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | 19d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | 22d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 24d ago |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.520 | $2.12 | 25d ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | 25d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?Down | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 5.37 | $0.600 | $3.22 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |