Latest trade
Oct 22, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:52 AM UTC.
Analytics
firebug has made $77.51 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 5 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-08-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:52 AM UTC.
$82 median trade
Its latest 21 trades covered 8 markets; 66.7% were buys. They run from Mar 30, 2025 UTC to Oct 22, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $97.75 | +$14.75 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Oct 22, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-08-20 01:33 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 09:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
21 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 09:52 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-08-20 01:33 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $108.31 and losing ones cost $35.8 across 5 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $97.27 on “Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?” (Yes); the largest loss, $32.8 on “Liberals win majority in Canadian election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2025. It has traded 8 markets. Its open positions are worth $195.1 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.800 |
| $97.35 |
| +$17.35 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.800 |
| $80 |
| Oct 22, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Aug 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Aug 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 230 | $0.999 | $229.77 | Apr 30, 2025 UTC |
 Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.090 | $10.8 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
| Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 43.43 | $0.360 | $15.63 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
| Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 56.57 | $0.360 | $20.37 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.980 | $139.99 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
| Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 4.74 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.210 | $8.4 | Apr 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.210 | $1.1 | Apr 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | sell | 386.82 | $0.570 | $220.49 | Apr 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | sell | 1.84 | $0.570 | $1.05 | Apr 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.750 | $172.5 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | Apr 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | Apr 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.