Analytics
firebug has made $77.51 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 5 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-08-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $97.75 | +$14.75 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-08-20 01:33 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 08:39 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-08-20 01:33 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $108.31 and losing ones cost $35.8 across 5 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $97.27 on “Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?” (Yes); the largest loss, $32.8 on “Liberals win majority in Canadian election?” (Yes).
It has traded 8 markets. Its open positions are worth $195.1 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.800 |
| $97.35 |
| +$17.35 |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 3m ago. Watch only — not advice.
