Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 15.2 | $0.992 | $15.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 60.61 |
| $0.989 |
| $59.94 |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No | buy | 27.8 | $0.991 | $27.55 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 64.28 | $0.987 | $63.44 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 17.74 | $0.998 | $17.7 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 56.73 | $0.999 | $56.67 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 47.81 | $0.999 | $47.76 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No | buy | 51.16 | $0.987 | $50.49 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No | buy | 47.5 | $0.999 | $47.45 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 288.57 | $0.007 | $2.02 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 39.76 | $0.999 | $39.72 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 23.57 | $0.999 | $23.55 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.957 | $6.17 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.997 | $1.03 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.47 | $0.991 | $5.42 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 68.62 | $0.994 | $68.21 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.49 | $0.994 | $9.43 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 175.06 | $0.630 | $110.29 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 129.09 | $0.011 | $1.42 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 117.72 | $0.983 | $115.72 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 74.76 | $0.021 | $1.57 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.27 | $0.022 | $1.15 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 129.64 | $0.978 | $126.79 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 253.81 | $0.600 | $152.29 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.33 | $0.952 | $19.35 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 12.07 | $0.967 | $11.67 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 253.82 | $0.660 | $167.52 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 174.42 | $0.973 | $169.66 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 182.4 | $0.997 | $181.85 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 182.39 | $0.998 | $182.03 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 72.14 | $0.014 | $1.01 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 193.14 | $0.997 | $192.56 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 160.89 | $0.996 | $160.25 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 160.89 | $0.997 | $160.41 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 142.35 | $0.997 | $141.92 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 142.35 | $0.998 | $142.07 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $5.25-5.50 in May?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.999 | $6.02 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 181.7 | $0.997 | $181.15 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 181.7 | $0.998 | $181.34 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 195.01 | $0.995 | $194.03 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 195.01 | $0.996 | $194.23 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | buy | 14.96 | $0.999 | $14.95 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 170.03 | $0.997 | $169.52 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 170.03 | $0.998 | $169.69 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 158.76 | $0.995 | $157.97 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No | buy | 8.08 | $0.999 | $8.07 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 158.76 | $0.995 | $157.97 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 23–30?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.997 | $4.59 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 169.49 | $0.995 | $168.64 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 169.5 | $0.996 | $168.82 | May 22, 2025 |