Latest trade
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:32 PM UTC.
micaudn is down $37.18 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 15 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:32 PM UTC.
$8 median trade
Its latest 47 trades covered 21 markets; 57.4% were buys. They run from Oct 15, 2026 UTC to Oct 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October? | Yes | 90 | $0.069 | $27.72 | +$21.51 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.30% in October?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 3d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 21:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 20:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
47 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 20:32 UTC
polymarket positions
17 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 21:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $17.76 and losing ones cost $53.08 across 15 settled positions. 33.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $16.43 on “Will Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $40B?” (No); the largest loss, $15.15 on “Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Oct 2026. It has traded 21 markets. Its open positions are worth $71.21 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.630 |
| $19.48 |
| +$6.88 |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October? | No | 11.27 | $0.710 | $10.8 | +$2.8 |
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 30 | $0.500 | $10.17 | -$4.83 |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | Yes | 100.24 | $0.931 | $1.6 | -$91.7 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | No | 80 | $0.214 | $1.32 | -$15.8 |
Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.3B? | Yes | 0.58 | $0.500 | $0.12 | -$0.17 |
| sell |
| 11.42 |
| $0.600 |
| $6.85 |
| 4d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?Yes | buy | 100.24 | $0.931 | $93.3 | 5d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?Yes | sell | 30.03 | $0.190 | $5.71 | 6d ago |
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?No | sell | 22 | $0.854 | $18.79 | 6d ago |
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 19, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | 6d ago |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?No | buy | 60 | $0.214 | $12.84 | 6d ago |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?No | buy | 20 | $0.214 | $4.28 | 6d ago |
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?No | buy | 22 | $0.848 | $18.66 | 6d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.700 | $8 | 7d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?No | sell | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | 7d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.069 | $6.21 | 7d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 7d ago |
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?No | sell | 48.5 | $0.260 | $12.61 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?No | sell | 0.65 | $0.260 | $0.17 | 7d ago |
Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.3B?Yes | sell | 9.42 | $0.190 | $1.79 | 7d ago |
Will Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $40B?No | buy | 31 | $0.470 | $14.57 | 7d ago |
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Mounjaro sales be above $10B?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 7d ago |
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Mounjaro sales be above $10B?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 7d ago |
Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?No | sell | 21 | $0.540 | $11.34 | 7d ago |
Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.3B?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 7d ago |
Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.3B?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | 7d ago |
Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?No | buy | 21 | $0.690 | $14.49 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?No | buy | 8 | $0.520 | $4.16 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?No | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 7d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?No | buy | 11.27 | $0.710 | $8 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?No | sell | 19.85 | $0.400 | $7.94 | 7d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 7d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.30% in October?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?No | buy | 32 | $0.460 | $14.72 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?No | sell | 15 | $0.470 | $7.05 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?No | buy | 24 | $0.610 | $14.64 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?No | sell | 25 | $0.620 | $15.5 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?No | buy | 25 | $0.580 | $14.5 | 7d ago |
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 4.66 | $0.400 | $1.86 | 7d ago |
Will "Paper Trail" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.220 | $5.72 | 8d ago |
Will "Paper Trail" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.560 | $14.56 | 8d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?Yes | buy | 8.89 | $0.900 | $8 | 8d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.46% in October?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.920 | $8 | 8d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?Yes | buy | 30.03 | $0.210 | $6.31 | 8d ago |
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.279 | $10.6 | 8d ago |
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 8d ago |
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 8d ago |
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.426 | $24.71 | 8d ago |
| Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.339 | $22.04 | 8d ago |
| Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.382 | $24.83 | 8d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.