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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.5 | $0.964 | $40 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 40.82 |
| $0.980 |
| $40 |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No | buy | 92.96 | $0.994 | $92.4 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?Yes | buy | 85.7 | $0.993 | $85.1 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.953 | $5 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 88.91 | $0.956 | $85 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 132.35 | $0.050 | $6.62 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 GPT-5 not announced in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.870 | $6 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 132.35 | $0.340 | $45 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 68.08 | $0.661 | $45 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 89.64 | $0.339 | $30.39 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?Yes | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 89.64 | $0.502 | $45 | Sep 26, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on September 27?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Solana above $150 on September 27?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Sep 26, 2024 |