Latest trade
May 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:26 PM UTC.
Analytics
RBBR1 is down $0.1 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:26 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 47 trades covered 27 markets; 61.7% were buys. They run from Dec 18, 2025 UTC to May 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 9.77 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
47 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:26 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $11.73 and losing ones cost $5.83 across 21 settled positions. 61.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.26 on “Maduro out by January 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.99 on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 May 2026. It has traded 27 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.06 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.61 |
| $0.620 |
| $1 |
| May 3, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.068 | $0.13 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.984 | $0.99 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.997 | $2.42 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.860 | $1.59 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.997 | $1.74 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.991 | $2.82 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.110 | $0.65 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.995 | $1.27 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.140 | $0.61 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.947 | $1.18 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.996 | $1.11 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.300 | $1.11 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.530 | $1.12 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.032 | $0.29 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.150 | $0.36 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.740 | $1.45 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.