Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.039 | $3.9 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.550 |
| $2.75 |
| Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Grok remain the #1 model through March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.817 | $2 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?No | sell | 1 | $0.200 | $0.2 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.650 | $0.65 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | sell | 1 | $0.650 | $0.65 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?No | sell | 1 | $0.460 | $0.46 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.024 | $1.2 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?No | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.262 | $7 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.250 | $8 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.167 | $3.34 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.089 | $1.34 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 11.29 | $0.620 | $7 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 866.67 | $0.006 | $5.2 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No | sell | 8 | $0.650 | $5.2 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 650 | $0.005 | $3.25 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No | sell | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 464.29 | $0.007 | $3.25 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No | sell | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.690 | $3.76 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.650 | $15 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 41.1 | $0.730 | $30 | Oct 24, 2024 |