Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:41 PM UTC.
Analytics
StardewTrader is down $2.76 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:41 PM UTC.
$100 median trade
Its latest 35 trades covered 20 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from Jan 30, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.52K | $0.413 | $297.14 | -$333.03 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?No | buy | 26.7 | $0.491 | $13.11 | 3h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-22 07:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
9 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
35 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:41 UTC
polymarket positions
5 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-22 07:44 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest win was $970.41 on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 20 markets. Its open positions are worth $609.99 across 9 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 124.48 |
| $0.964 |
| $122.93 |
| +$2.93 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 300 | $0.330 | $61.5 | -$37.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.140 | $54 | -$2 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 384.62 | $0.260 | $20.96 | -$79.04 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.013 | $18.1 | +$3.95 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? | No | 26.7 | $0.491 | $14.95 | +$1.84 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | Yes | 390 | $0.130 | $14.24 | -$36.47 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 138.89 | $0.180 | $6.18 | -$18.82 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.330 |
| $99 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | 4d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.014 | $4.34 | 4d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 669.3 | $0.013 | $8.52 | 4d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.140 | $56 | 4d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.5 | $0.011 | $1.29 | 4d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Yes | buy | 390 | $0.130 | $50.7 | 4d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.61K | $0.250 | $403 | 8d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.61K | $0.170 | $274.04 | 19d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.440 | $2K | 22d ago |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 526.32 | $0.560 | $294.74 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.020 | $100 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 284.96 | $0.810 | $230.82 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.690 | $150 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 67.56 | $0.660 | $44.59 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.18K | $0.229 | $500 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 652.17 | $0.230 | $150 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.057 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.180 | $25 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 147.05 | $0.322 | $47.35 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 923.19 | $0.159 | $147.21 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.054 | $100 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.090 | $100 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.460 | $200 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 256.23 | $0.098 | $25 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 256.69 | $0.039 | $10 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 740.74 | $0.027 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 124.48 | $0.964 | $120 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.029 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.