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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 270.27 | $0.740 | $258.11 | +$58.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 300 |
| $0.423 |
| $241.5 |
| +$114.5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 266.43 | $0.544 | $239.79 | +$94.79 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 224.83 | $0.889 | $212.47 | +$12.47 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 343.9 | $0.442 | $177.11 | +$25.11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.760 | $149 | -$3 |
 Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | No | 129.31 | $0.773 | $105.39 | +$5.39 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 200 | $0.440 | $95 | +$7 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $92.5 | +$0.5 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.910 | $44.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 5 | $0.600 | $4.82 | +$1.82 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.73 | -$0.27 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.210 | $0.6 | -$1.5 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.59 | -$0.41 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.440 |
| $44 |
| 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | 25d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.854 | $85.39 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $110 in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.911 | $91.1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 60.24 | $0.790 | $47.59 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 64.94 | $0.770 | $50 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.590 | $50 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 166.43 | $0.601 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No | buy | 101.73 | $0.983 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 115.82 | $0.863 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 51.76 | $0.966 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.740 | $200 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 104.36 | $0.958 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No | sell | 100 | $0.092 | $9.21 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?No | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?No | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.460 | $25.3 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 10.6 | $0.943 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?No | buy | 51.39 | $0.973 | $50 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 53.48 | $0.935 | $50 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $100 in May?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | May 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 101.63 | $0.984 | $100 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 129.31 | $0.773 | $100 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No | buy | 51.76 | $0.966 | $50 | May 18, 2026 |