Latest trade
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:48 PM UTC.
Analytics
xinyuan has made $6.66K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 3:48 PM UTC.
$3.79 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 5 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Oct 17, 2026 UTC to Oct 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.07K | $0.989 | $1.06K | +$0.54 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.989 | $1.06K | 6d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 02:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 15:48 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 15:48 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 02:06 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $8.27K and losing ones cost $686.1 across the latest 50 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.99K on “Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?” (Yes); the largest loss, $194.04 on “Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Oct 2026. It has traded 66 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.63K across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1K |
| $0.997 |
| $996.5 |
| -$0.5 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 781.19 | $0.890 | $754.24 | +$58.98 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 200 | $0.860 | $187 | +$15 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | No | 152 | $0.930 | $149.87 | +$8.51 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 152 | $0.942 | $145.62 | +$2.43 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? | No | 133.32 | $0.964 | $130.52 | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 117 | $0.910 | $110.86 | +$4.39 |
 USDC depeg by December 31? | No | 48 | $0.989 | $47.4 | -$0.07 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.200 | $45 | +$5 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.210 |
| $21 |
| 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | 6d ago |
 Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | sell | 8.87K | $0.010 | $88.21 | 6d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | sell | 10.53K | $0.018 | $189.21 | 6d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.022 | $1.74 | 6d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 254.99 | $0.015 | $3.82 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 211.23 | $0.015 | $3.17 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 844.94 | $0.015 | $12.67 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 614.85 | $0.015 | $9.22 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 553.09 | $0.022 | $12.17 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 396.59 | $0.022 | $8.72 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.022 | $1.8 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 131.14 | $0.015 | $1.97 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 9.2 | $0.022 | $0.2 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | sell | 4.13K | $0.018 | $74.32 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 146.16 | $0.022 | $3.22 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.015 | $3.75 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 239.1 | $0.022 | $5.26 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 45.9 | $0.023 | $1.06 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 485 | $0.015 | $7.27 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 39.76 | $0.015 | $0.6 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 155.55 | $0.023 | $3.58 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 23.65 | $0.015 | $0.35 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.015 | $2.55 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 7.92 | $0.015 | $0.12 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 7.92 | $0.023 | $0.18 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.023 | $0.03 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.023 | $0.04 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.023 | $0.02 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 879.43 | $0.023 | $20.23 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 879.43 | $0.015 | $13.19 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 87.09 | $0.023 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | buy | 87.09 | $0.015 | $1.31 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.023 | $1.77 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.023 | $13.8 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 128.59 | $0.023 | $2.96 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.023 | $9.2 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 533.33 | $0.023 | $12.27 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.023 | $0.23 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 71.46 | $0.023 | $1.64 | 7d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | sell | 2.77K | $0.017 | $45.86 | 8d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | sell | 6.02K | $0.024 | $144.48 | 8d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.024 | $42.08 | 8d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.025 | $75 | 8d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.024 | $4.8 | 8d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | sell | 2.76K | $0.018 | $49.64 | 8d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | sell | 461.97 | $0.026 | $12.01 | 8d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.026 | $0.08 | 8d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.026 | $0.07 | 8d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.