Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 340.9 | $0.920 | $313.63 | Jun 13, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 413.61 |
| $0.930 |
| $384.79 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.484 | $500 | May 24, 2026 |
FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.924 | $1.07K | May 5, 2026 |
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 289.13 | $0.907 | $262.32 | May 5, 2026 |
FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.860 | $1K | May 4, 2026 |
FDA approves Axsome Therapeutics' AXS-05?Yes | buy | 989.27 | $0.901 | $891.07 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 8)No | buy | 66 | $0.529 | $34.92 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)No | buy | 172.01 | $0.291 | $50 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 437.84 | $0.998 | $436.83 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 231.95 | $0.973 | $225.8 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 204.88 | $0.976 | $200 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will "Maduro" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 425.79 | $0.986 | $420 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 340.91 | $0.880 | $300 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 820.77 | $0.975 | $800 | Jan 6, 2026 |
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 124.48 | $0.964 | $120 | Jan 6, 2026 |
US military action against Iran by Monday?No | sell | 353.07 | $0.002 | $0.71 | Jun 22, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | sell | 339.09 | $0.005 | $1.7 | Jun 22, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Sunday?No | sell | 377.44 | $0.002 | $0.85 | Jun 22, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.910 | $11.84 | Jun 21, 2025 |
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?No | buy | 439.03 | $0.683 | $300 | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Sunday?No | buy | 253.16 | $0.790 | $200 | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Monday?No | buy | 120.78 | $0.866 | $104.54 | Jun 20, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Monday?No | buy | 232.3 | $0.858 | $199.25 | Jun 20, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 326.09 | $0.920 | $300 | Jun 20, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 511.84 | $0.977 | $500 | Jun 20, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Sunday?No | buy | 124.28 | $0.799 | $99.3 | Jun 20, 2025 |
FDA approves Regeneron’s Dupixent for bullous pemphigoid?Yes | buy | 104.54 | $0.923 | $96.51 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes | sell | 99.28 | $0.972 | $96.52 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes | buy | 198.58 | $0.843 | $167.36 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Stacey Abrams charged in 2025?No | sell | 169.73 | $0.986 | $167.35 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 1?Yes | buy | 218.32 | $0.957 | $208.96 | Apr 1, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?Yes | buy | 208.96 | $0.994 | $207.75 | Apr 1, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on March 31?Yes | buy | 207.75 | $0.939 | $195.08 | Mar 31, 2025 |
Megaquake before May?No | sell | 212.17 | $0.919 | $195.07 | Mar 31, 2025 |
Megaquake before May?No | buy | 82.8 | $0.930 | $77 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Stacey Abrams charged in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Megaquake before May?No | buy | 129.38 | $0.925 | $119.72 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?Yes | sell | 120.93 | $0.990 | $119.72 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?Yes | buy | 120.93 | $0.963 | $116.46 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Oregon vs. ArizonaOregon | sell | 346.72 | $0.011 | $3.77 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Oregon vs. ArizonaOregon | buy | 346.72 | $0.288 | $100 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Canada election called before April?Yes | buy | 212.7 | $0.993 | $211.21 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?No | buy | 318.77 | $0.627 | $200 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?Yes | buy | 172.2 | $0.917 | $157.84 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Israeli military action against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 108.55 | $0.984 | $106.83 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Will Trump jail Fauci?No | sell | 55.45 | $0.920 | $51.01 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?Yes | buy | 45.77 | $0.744 | $34.04 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?Yes | buy | 193.23 | $0.776 | $150 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Stacey Abrams charged in 2025?No | buy | 269.74 | $0.741 | $200 | Mar 19, 2025 |