Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 18 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 7.5% on 18 Mar 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $20.37K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 291 points, 18 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2025 | 7.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fedparodi | Yes | 2K |
| cipher | Yes | 1.1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 363 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former Chief Medical Advisor to the President Anthony Fauci serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between March 17 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-jail-fauci
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| hammergone | Yes | 333 |
| yoyo22 | Yes | 300 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 221 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 196 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 146 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 106 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 105.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
