Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, down 3.1 points from 5.6% when the market opened on 7 Jan 2026.
The high was 16.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the low 2.2% on 12 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 4.4%; a month ago, 3.8%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 4.8% on 30 Apr 2026.
$336.51 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $28.14K since listing. The order book holds $9.87K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $686.2 bought Yes and $6.02K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xiaxiaoqiang2026 with 5.9K shares; the largest No position is Ajjooli with 2.6K. Ten wallets hold 71.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 79 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 14, 11:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 268 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 5.6% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xiaxiaoqiang2026 | Yes | 5.91K |
| Ajjooli | No | 2.59K |
| i400 | No | 1.29K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-coronavirus-pandemic-in-2026
| Solar Raven A90C |
| No |
| 1.06K |
| newmasterroshi | No | 748.06 |
| Snow-White | Yes | 740.39 |
| MaxPowell | No | 726.09 |
| BluntTruthGentleman | Yes | 591 |
| Slowroasted | No | 395.64 |
| Different-Slice | No | 384.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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