Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 1.46K | $0.983 | $1.44K | +$5.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 135.69 | $0.989 | $134.2 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 867.48 |
| $0.989 |
| $856.2 |
| -$1.81 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 603.01 | $0.935 | $569.84 | +$5.7 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | No | 579.01 | $0.956 | $553.53 | -$0.06 |
 Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 462.43 | $0.968 | $456.65 | +$8.86 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 402 | $0.966 | $389.74 | +$1.46 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | No | 391.85 | $0.522 | $252.75 | +$48.04 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 150 | $0.959 | $139.95 | -$3.9 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100.01 | $0.981 | $98.36 | +$0.26 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | Yes | 100 | $0.972 | $98.2 | +$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 102.01 | $0.541 | $53.56 | -$1.68 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 51 | $0.987 | $50.18 | -$0.15 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 86.62 | $0.706 | $48.51 | -$12.61 |
 Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | No | 49.99 | $0.933 | $46.24 | -$0.42 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 96.5 | $0.523 | $43.81 | -$6.67 |
| New pandemic before 2028? | No | 50 | $0.798 | $41 | +$1.11 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | 46.75 | $0.851 | $39.97 | +$0.2 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 58.21 | $0.490 | $35.8 | +$7.28 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? | Yes | 591.9 | $0.078 | $29 | -$17.28 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 69.63 | $0.356 | $24.72 | -$0.08 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | $0 |
 Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | Yes | 46.01 | $0.485 | $22.77 | +$0.44 |
 Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | No | 25 | $0.810 | $20 | -$0.25 |
 Will Wilder Morais win the Governor of Goiás election? | No | 13.76 | $0.975 | $13.72 | +$0.31 |
 Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | Yes | 40 | $0.375 | $13.6 | -$1.4 |
| buy |
| 230.51 |
| $0.990 |
| $228.23 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.490 | $44.1 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?No | buy | 161.84 | $0.526 | $85.09 | 5d ago |
 Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 374.19 | $0.003 | $1.12 | 5d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 101.42 | $0.014 | $1.42 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.474 | $94.71 | 6d ago |
| Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes | sell | 5.09 | $0.500 | $2.55 | 8d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 289.01 | $0.958 | $276.87 | 9d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 240 | $0.865 | $207.6 | 9d ago |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 211.84 | $0.985 | $208.66 | 12d ago |
| Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 139.35 | $0.982 | $136.82 | 12d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?No | sell | 20 | $0.101 | $2.02 | 15d ago |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | sell | 14.46 | $0.400 | $5.78 | 19d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.870 | $0.16 | 19d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10.29 | $0.957 | $9.85 | 21d ago |
 Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?No | sell | 47.57 | $0.540 | $25.69 | 23d ago |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No | sell | 6.16 | $0.028 | $0.17 | 24d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 66.85 | $0.170 | $11.36 | 26d ago |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 93.81 | $0.980 | $91.93 | 29d ago |
 Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.995 | $49.74 | 29d ago |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 326.01 | $0.960 | $312.97 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 216.48 | $0.991 | $214.53 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 632.69 | $0.979 | $619.65 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Athletico Paranaense win Brazil Série A?Yes | buy | 15.93 | $0.004 | $0.06 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.945 | $4.73 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | Aug 7, 2026 |