Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.570 | $1.14 | May 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 34 |
| $0.845 |
| $28.73 |
| May 24, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.983 | $28.51 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.730 | $1.46 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.740 | $19.98 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 18 | $0.961 | $17.3 | May 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 8 | $0.961 | $7.69 | May 20, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 39 | $0.740 | $28.86 | May 20, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.750 | $29.25 | May 20, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 28 | $0.947 | $26.52 | May 19, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.045 | $1.48 | May 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.280 | $20.72 | May 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.620 | $27.28 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.990 | $1.65 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 12 | $0.939 | $11.27 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 19 | $0.516 | $9.8 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 12 | $0.980 | $11.76 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.017 | $0.24 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.018 | $0.22 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday?No | sell | 11 | $0.992 | $10.91 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday?No | buy | 12 | $0.963 | $11.56 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.974 | $10.71 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 12 | $0.959 | $11.51 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 12 | $0.959 | $11.51 | Mar 11, 2025 |