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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.95 | $0.958 | $0.93 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 81 | $0.961 | $77.84 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.870 |
| $8.7 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 92 | $0.850 | $78.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.760 | $38.76 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 96 | $0.896 | $86.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 96 | $0.897 | $86.11 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.937 | $13.12 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 79 | $0.983 | $77.66 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.976 | $78.08 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 61 | $0.884 | $53.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 98 | $0.886 | $86.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.045 | $5.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.120 | $38.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 93 | $0.934 | $86.86 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 93 | $0.937 | $87.14 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 91 | $0.966 | $87.91 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 90 | $0.977 | $87.93 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.440 | $64.24 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 107 | $0.710 | $75.97 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 141 | $0.530 | $74.73 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 304 | $0.013 | $3.95 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 92 | $0.804 | $73.97 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 163 | $0.500 | $81.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.540 | $81 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.520 | $2.08 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 264 | $0.300 | $79.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 143 | $0.270 | $38.61 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.270 | $38.61 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 112 | $0.776 | $86.91 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 112 | $0.779 | $87.25 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 117 | $0.690 | $80.73 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.987 | $44.42 | May 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 110 | $0.480 | $52.8 | May 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 28 | $0.490 | $13.72 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.240 | $13.92 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 192 | $0.240 | $46.08 | May 28, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.985 | $26.6 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 80 | $0.959 | $76.72 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 86 | $0.958 | $82.39 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.480 | $11.52 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 93 | $0.929 | $86.4 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 97 | $0.979 | $94.96 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 97 | $0.975 | $94.58 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 121 | $0.768 | $92.93 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | May 24, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 152 | $0.570 | $86.64 | May 20, 2026 |