Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 809.13 | $0.999 | $808.32 | Apr 13, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 808.72 |
| $0.993 |
| $802.96 |
| Apr 12, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.950 | $1.02K | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.52K | $0.999 | $1.52K | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.973 | $1.5K | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.997 | $1.5K | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes | buy | 3.17K | $0.997 | $3.16K | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.05K | $0.003 | $12.15 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.18K | $0.994 | $5.14K | Dec 27, 2025 |
 BNB all time high by December 31?No | sell | 5.16K | $0.997 | $5.14K | Dec 27, 2025 |
| BNB all time high by December 31?No | buy | 5.16K | $0.992 | $5.12K | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.988 | $1.6K | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 616.77 | $0.973 | $600 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 509.45 | $0.981 | $500 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.966 | $1.26K | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 2.88K | $0.006 | $17 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 165.05K | $0.994 | $164.06K | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | sell | 2.69K | $0.996 | $2.68K | Mar 16, 2025 |
 MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?No | sell | 110.47 | $0.996 | $110.03 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.989 | $1.85K | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan before March?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.136 | $40.65 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan before March?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.100 | $0.3 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan before March?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.100 | $16 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.996 | $2.54K | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 678.72 | $0.940 | $638 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 501 | $0.998 | $500 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?No | buy | 134.73 | $0.996 | $134.19 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Was Trump hacked?No | buy | 134.19 | $0.995 | $133.52 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 100.16 | $0.035 | $3.51 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 3.61K | $0.035 | $126.21 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Diddy?No | buy | 98.99 | $0.992 | $98.2 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will Biden pardon Diddy?No | buy | 5K | $0.996 | $4.98K | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Nuggets vs. HeatHeat | buy | 2.05K | $0.510 | $1.04K | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. HeatHeat | buy | 24 | $0.510 | $12.24 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. HeatHeat | buy | 71.99 | $0.510 | $36.71 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Mavericks vs. PelicansPelicans | buy | 1.86K | $0.430 | $801.95 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Nets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | buy | 1.15K | $0.680 | $781.32 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Suns vs. HawksHawks | sell | 1.83K | $0.380 | $693.73 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Suns vs. HawksHawks | sell | 174.4 | $0.380 | $66.27 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Grizzlies vs. RocketsGrizzlies | buy | 1.57K | $0.430 | $676.82 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Hornets vs. SunsSuns | sell | 43.74 | $0.720 | $31.49 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| 76ers vs. MagicMagic | buy | 2.32K | $0.520 | $1.21K | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Pelicans vs. CelticsPelicans | sell | 2.63 | $0.110 | $0.29 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Jazz vs. SunsSuns | buy | 1.49K | $0.820 | $1.22K | Jan 11, 2025 |
| Thunder vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 2.9K | $0.400 | $1.16K | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Warriors vs. PistonsPistons | buy | 3.36K | $0.549 | $1.85K | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Hornets vs. LakersLakers | sell | 22.19 | $0.690 | $15.31 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Hornets vs. LakersLakers | sell | 92.5 | $0.690 | $63.82 | Jan 9, 2025 |