Latest trade
Aug 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:58 PM UTC.
Analytics
celaer is down $162.02 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:58 PM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Jun 12, 2026 UTC to Aug 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.994 | $1.45 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-09 22:37 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 12:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 12:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-09 22:37 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $723.02 and losing ones cost $10 across the latest 50 settled positions. 98% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $52.25 on “Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?” (No); the largest loss, $10 on “Cavaliers vs. Raptors” (Cavaliers).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Aug 2026. It has traded 225 markets. Its open positions are worth $11.22 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5.37 |
| $0.931 |
| $5.24 |
| +$0.24 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 13.7 | $0.438 | $0.49 | -$5.51 |
| buy |
| 28.99 |
| $0.690 |
| $20 |
| Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 20.6 | $0.971 | $20 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 28.98 | $0.490 | $14.2 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Gero Kretschmer vs Philipp MarxPhilipp Marx | buy | 2.06 | $0.510 | $1.05 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Lucas Miedler vs Jonathan ErlichJonathan Erlich | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 39.6 | $0.505 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | buy | 17.61 | $0.990 | $17.43 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 | buy | 20.64 | $0.969 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?No | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays | buy | 15.99 | $0.999 | $15.97 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?No | buy | 60.12 | $0.998 | $60 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No | buy | 29.69 | $0.490 | $14.55 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?No | buy | 42.28 | $0.473 | $20 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?No | buy | 46.3 | $0.432 | $20 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 29.01 | $0.680 | $19.73 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 22.06 | $0.680 | $15 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?Yes | buy | 12.79 | $0.997 | $12.75 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Washington NationalsSeattle Mariners | buy | 11.66 | $0.580 | $6.76 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3FURIA | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.