Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76.1%. Yes opened at 45% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, the highest close was 89% on 24 Jul 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 70 points up, to 76.1% on 31 Jul 2026. $232.34K traded over the market's life.
122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 10:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 45.0% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 76.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 69.68K |
| Machaon | No | 10.33K |
| Royal Horizon 9999 | No | 1.25K |
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192727948
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 907 |
| conherence | No | 546.5 |
| Golden Oracle BE21 | No | 489.84 |
| Cosmic Lynx CE4F | No | 323.85 |
| Kefrey | Yes | 250 |
| 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13 | No | 207.9 |
| Laurenman | No | 200.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
