Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.491 | $0.07 | -$0.18 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 71 | $0.710 | $50.41 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.82 |
| $0.039 |
| $0.02 |
| -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 47 |
| $0.976 |
| $45.87 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 114 | $0.087 | $9.92 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.088 | $14.43 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 63 | $0.850 | $53.55 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.600 | $54 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.240 | $10.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.911 | $56.48 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 63 | $0.890 | $56.07 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.039 | $6.4 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.267 | $14.42 | May 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.161 | $25.76 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.982 | $27.5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.982 | $27.5 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 5.18 | $0.040 | $0.21 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.039 | $0.9 | May 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 13 | $0.770 | $10.01 | May 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.740 | $9.62 | May 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 122 | $0.032 | $3.9 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 186 | $0.031 | $5.77 | May 22, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.495 | $7.42 | May 21, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 72.5 | $0.490 | $35.53 | May 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.310 | $20.46 | May 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.290 | $16.24 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.965 | $41.5 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.959 | $25.89 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.043 | $0.43 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.580 | $3.48 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.600 | $3.6 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.780 | $41.34 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.026 | $0.21 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 6 | $0.963 | $5.78 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.033 | $0.03 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 37 | $0.943 | $34.89 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 27 | $0.950 | $25.65 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No | sell | 9 | $0.986 | $8.87 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 6 | $0.975 | $5.85 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 36 | $0.976 | $35.14 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 169 | $0.027 | $4.56 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.978 | $4.89 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 30 | $0.977 | $29.31 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.005 | $0.29 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.977 | $29.31 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.029 | $4.52 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 176 | $0.005 | $0.88 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 36 | $0.982 | $35.35 | Sep 9, 2025 |