Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.46 | $0.956 | $0.45 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 211 | $0.919 | $193.91 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 133 |
| $0.080 |
| $10.64 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.080 | $10.64 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 247 | $0.320 | $79.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.310 | $86.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 85 | $0.660 | $56.1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 134 | $0.900 | $120.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.890 | $1.78 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 215 | $0.881 | $189.42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 272 | $0.032 | $8.7 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 272 | $0.036 | $9.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 220 | $0.955 | $210.1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 220 | $0.955 | $210.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.120 | $16.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 19 | $0.100 | $1.9 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 618 | $0.300 | $185.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 618 | $0.256 | $158.21 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 284 | $0.027 | $7.67 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 284 | $0.038 | $10.79 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 145 | $0.988 | $143.26 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 388 | $0.490 | $190.12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 388 | $0.480 | $186.24 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.170 | $11.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 193 | $0.945 | $182.39 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 179 | $0.120 | $21.48 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 219 | $0.120 | $26.28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 203 | $0.900 | $182.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 218 | $0.470 | $102.46 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 346 | $0.470 | $162.62 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 118 | $0.985 | $116.23 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 2 | $0.956 | $1.91 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 187 | $0.960 | $179.52 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 218 | $0.540 | $117.72 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 207 | $0.540 | $111.78 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 147 | $0.988 | $145.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 147 | $0.988 | $145.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 185 | $0.956 | $176.86 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 190 | $0.956 | $181.62 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 97 | $0.550 | $53.35 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 497 | $0.014 | $6.96 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 308 | $0.540 | $166.32 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.058 | $8.36 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 172 | $0.430 | $73.96 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 400 | $0.430 | $172 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 179 | $0.058 | $10.38 | May 28, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 178 | $0.917 | $163.23 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 291 | $0.560 | $162.96 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 291 | $0.560 | $162.96 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 244 | $0.669 | $163.24 | May 27, 2026 |