Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.190 | $0.76 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 73 |
| $0.031 |
| $2.26 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.031 | $2.42 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.079 | $7.19 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 157 | $0.079 | $12.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 157 | $0.180 | $28.26 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.180 | $28.98 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.460 | $50.14 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.810 | $48.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.080 | $12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.080 | $12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.840 | $5.88 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.300 | $16.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.550 | $33 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.560 | $33.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.470 | $43.24 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 53 | $0.809 | $42.88 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.022 | $0.02 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.024 | $1.13 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.025 | $1.2 | May 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | May 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.981 | $42.18 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 49 | $0.957 | $46.89 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.220 | $9.68 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.226 | $35.03 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.989 | $36.59 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.128 | $1.92 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.151 | $2.27 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.750 | $46.5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.280 | $2.24 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.280 | $7.56 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.044 | $3.92 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 46 | $0.956 | $43.98 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.959 | $44.11 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 9 | $0.907 | $8.16 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 8 | $0.963 | $7.7 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?No | buy | 8 | $0.978 | $7.82 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.932 | $7.46 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.962 | $7.7 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.974 | $7.79 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 29 | $0.032 | $0.93 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | buy | 6 | $0.118 | $0.71 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6?No | buy | 8 | $0.944 | $7.55 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.971 | $6.8 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.129 | $1.16 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No | sell | 4 | $0.987 | $3.95 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.955 | $8.59 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.983 | $7.86 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 8 | $0.975 | $7.8 | May 12, 2025 |