Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 695 | $0.720 | $651.56 | +$151.16 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 435 | $0.230 | $100.05 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 396.9 |
| $0.781 |
| $341.33 |
| +$31.32 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 345 | $0.870 | $339.14 | +$38.99 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 340 | $0.876 | $321.3 | +$23.3 |
 Another US debt downgrade before 2027? | No | 323 | $0.720 | $284.24 | +$51.68 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 286 | $0.700 | $243.1 | +$42.9 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 228 | $0.880 | $219.45 | +$18.81 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 263 | $0.760 | $201.2 | +$1.32 |
 Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 395.49 | $0.499 | $199.72 | +$2.3 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 250 | $0.400 | $116.25 | +$16.25 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 438 | $0.838 | $111.69 | -$255.32 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 235 | $0.429 | $107.28 | +$6.46 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 770 | $0.130 | $96.25 | -$3.85 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 657 | $0.305 | $95.27 | -$105.06 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 435 | $0.230 | $78.3 | -$21.75 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 566 | $0.354 | $76.41 | -$123.85 |
| Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026? | No | 74.47 | $0.800 | $66.35 | +$6.78 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 420 | $0.120 | $52.5 | +$2.1 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 54 | $0.940 | $52.35 | +$1.59 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 75 | $0.550 | $34.88 | -$6.38 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 246 | $0.380 | $33.21 | -$60.27 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 435 | $0.230 | $9.35 | -$90.7 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 241.66 | $0.065 | $7.61 | -$8.1 |
| Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? | No | 7.91 | $0.650 | $7.25 | +$2.11 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | Yes | 63 | $0.400 | $5.36 | -$19.85 |
| buy |
| 263 |
| $0.760 |
| $199.88 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 196.88 | $0.450 | $88.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.510 | $40.8 | 3d ago |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.500 | $16 | 3d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)Dan Hooker | buy | 477 | $0.210 | $100.17 | 3d ago |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.520 | $98.8 | 9d ago |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.510 | $35.7 | 9d ago |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 770 | $0.130 | $100.1 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | 9d ago |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 420 | $0.110 | $46.2 | 14d ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 986.32 | $0.250 | $246.58 | 14d ago |
| UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)Mansur Abdul-Malik | buy | 349 | $0.860 | $300.14 | 25d ago |
| UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)Esteban Ribovics | buy | 353 | $0.850 | $300.05 | 25d ago |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Islam Makhachev | buy | 395 | $0.760 | $300.2 | 25d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 252 | $0.794 | $200.09 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.560 | $100.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 167 | $0.600 | $100.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 564 | $0.710 | $400.44 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Steve Garcia | buy | 233 | $0.430 | $100.19 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis | buy | 455 | $0.220 | $100.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder | buy | 270 | $0.300 | $81 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder | buy | 75 | $0.270 | $20.25 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder | buy | 200 | $0.499 | $99.74 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 741 | $0.810 | $600.21 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 446 | $0.309 | $137.66 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 540.32 | $0.300 | $162.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 428.89 | $0.579 | $248.12 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 87.2 | $0.570 | $49.7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 186 | $0.160 | $29.76 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 509.94 | $0.055 | $28.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.130 | $35.01 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.120 | $15.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.049 | $100.45 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.390 | $4.29 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 430 | $0.059 | $25.37 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 225 | $0.670 | $150.75 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 440.99 | $0.330 | $145.53 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.940 | $50.76 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 440.99 | $0.340 | $149.94 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.340 | $20.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.700 | $175 | May 31, 2026 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes | buy | 244 | $0.406 | $99.09 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.240 | $18 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 253.91 | $0.235 | $59.67 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 181.03 | $0.234 | $42.31 | May 31, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 211 | $0.710 | $149.81 | May 31, 2026 |
 Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaCasper Ruud | buy | 160 | $0.630 | $100.8 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 241.66 | $0.065 | $15.71 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.500 | $4.69 | May 25, 2026 |