Latest trade
Oct 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 5:17 PM UTC.
Analytics
expand has made $46.34 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 19, 5:17 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 307 trades covered 166 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Oct 26, 2025 UTC to Oct 6, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 8.61 | $0.754 | $6.59 | +$0.09 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.841 | $4.5 | 13d ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-19 14:25 UTC
Polymarket public position response
12 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-19 17:17 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
307 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-19 17:17 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 03:20 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $69.85 and losing ones cost $2.03 across the latest 50 settled positions. 96% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $21.22 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.03 on “Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?” (No).
It first traded on 26 Oct 2025 and most recently on 6 Oct 2026. It has traded 166 markets. Its open positions are worth $21.27 across 12 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 6.39 |
| $0.499 |
| $4.09 |
| +$0.9 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.636 | $1.37 | -$4.63 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.31 | $0.762 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.03 | $0.970 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4.95 | $0.202 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 5.45 |
| $0.977 |
| $5.32 |
| 13d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.605 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.621 | $1 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | 29d ago |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.915 | $1 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.905 | $2 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsGen.G | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.490 | $2.19 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxAtlanta Braves | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 18, 2026 UTC |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.993 | $3 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.762 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 85.92 | $0.116 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.