Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 43.46 | $0.424 | $5.87 | -$12.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 9.43 |
| $0.530 |
| $4.95 |
| -$0.05 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 10.64 | $0.470 | $3.03 | -$1.97 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $1.19 | -$3.81 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 5.69 | $0.351 | $0.37 | -$1.63 |
| buy |
| 15.82 |
| $0.670 |
| $10.6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 7.11 | $0.670 | $4.76 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.53 | $0.800 | $4.42 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp | buy | 5.81 | $0.310 | $1.8 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 7.66 | $0.653 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp | buy | 12.8 | $0.753 | $9.65 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETUp | buy | 10.45 | $0.440 | $4.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETUp | buy | 10.23 | $0.450 | $4.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?Yes | buy | 7.53 | $0.640 | $4.82 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.210 | $1.84 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.492 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.390 | $1.9 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "N Word" in April?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 57.65 | $0.820 | $47.27 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?Yes | sell | 56.51 | $0.859 | $48.54 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?Yes | buy | 2.77 | $0.800 | $2.21 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.39 | $0.380 | $13.45 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp | sell | 16.44 | $0.999 | $16.42 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 16.13 | $0.740 | $11.94 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp | buy | 11.87 | $0.430 | $5.1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 4.67 | $0.800 | $3.74 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 52.67 | $0.510 | $26.86 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp | buy | 26.85 | $0.520 | $13.96 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown | buy | 39.63 | $0.110 | $4.36 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 47.3 | $0.560 | $26.49 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.910 | $5.05 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 65.02 | $0.510 | $33.16 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 90.79 | $0.222 | $20.18 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.830 | $7.03 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp | buy | 22.38 | $0.510 | $11.41 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 18.56 | $0.500 | $9.28 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETDown | buy | 9.4 | $0.493 | $4.63 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETDown | buy | 16.59 | $0.280 | $4.65 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 9.32 | $0.971 | $9.05 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | sell | 13.69 | $0.810 | $11.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 55.99 | $0.220 | $12.32 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp | buy | 20.32 | $0.510 | $10.36 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 17.9 | $0.520 | $9.31 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 9.11 | $0.510 | $4.65 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 17.84 | $0.250 | $4.46 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp | buy | 428.72 | $0.010 | $4.29 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 17.29 | $0.540 | $9.34 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown | buy | 17.18 | $0.260 | $4.47 | Apr 8, 2026 |