Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | Yes | 1.28K | $0.200 | $863.96 | +$608.27 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Feb 4, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 35.09 |
| $0.260 |
| $9.12 |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 243.9 | $0.041 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?Yes | buy | 354.05 | $0.470 | $166.4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.200 | $250 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.95 | $0.190 | $5.69 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?Up | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.110 | $33 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 14?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.032 | $6.41 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 14?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.004 | $3.69 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 14?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.296 | $8.88 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.340 | $2.04 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.075 | $2.25 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.57 | $0.673 | $4.42 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13?Up | sell | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?Yes | buy | 88.89 | $0.045 | $4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 13?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 69.05 | $0.074 | $5.11 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | sell | 12.97 | $0.393 | $5.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.860 | $1.52K | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 886.85 | $0.860 | $762.69 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.81K | $0.860 | $2.42K | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | buy | 12.97 | $0.137 | $1.78 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.23K | $0.930 | $5.8K | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 119.22 | $0.877 | $104.58 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | sell | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 5.21 | $0.480 | $2.5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.055 | $0.55 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | sell | 24.85 | $0.200 | $4.97 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 6.48 | $0.772 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Dec 3, 2025 |