Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 4.79K | $0.821 | $4.05K | +$115.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 37m ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.12K |
| $0.961 |
| $3.06K |
| +$62.42 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3.51K | $0.841 | $3K | +$49.14 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.2K | $0.686 | $2.42K | -$1.15K |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.58K | $0.857 | $2.4K | +$189.59 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 2.26K | $0.852 | $1.91K | -$16.72 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.43K | $0.090 | $1.68K | -$332.02 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 1.54K | $0.971 | $1.54K | +$39.39 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.52K | $0.985 | $1.52K | +$17.51 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 5.85K | $0.373 | $1.49K | -$691.66 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 2.6K | $0.386 | $1.3K | +$296.86 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.49K | $0.471 | $1.26K | +$560.91 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 999.5 | $0.910 | $939.53 | +$29.99 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 800 | $0.880 | $700 | -$4 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 750 | $0.870 | $663.75 | +$11.25 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 735.15 | $0.500 | $635.9 | +$268.33 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.78K | $0.023 | $623.39 | +$153.51 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 606.5 | $0.862 | $537.97 | +$15.21 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.860 | $432.5 | +$2.5 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 837.3 | $0.512 | $389.34 | -$39.48 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 421.45 | $0.840 | $368.77 | +$14.75 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.270 | $365.07 | -$139.12 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 644.41 | $0.490 | $344.76 | +$29 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.650 | $332.5 | +$7.5 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 250.69 | $0.930 | $241.92 | +$8.77 |
| sell |
| 14.36 |
| $0.740 |
| $10.63 |
| 5h ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 7.39 | $0.280 | $2.07 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.520 | $20.8 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | 9h ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 286.9 | $0.570 | $163.53 | 13h ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.67 | $0.780 | $4.42 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 9.25 | $0.530 | $4.9 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 14h ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.260 | $1.43 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 28.23 | $0.580 | $16.37 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 163.72 | $0.420 | $68.76 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 30.25 | $0.360 | $10.89 | 18h ago |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 83.01 | $0.996 | $82.68 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 21.07 | $0.350 | $7.37 | 22h ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 15.7 | $0.400 | $6.28 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.390 | $6.24 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 39.97 | $0.420 | $16.79 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 55.47 | $0.420 | $23.3 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 101.04 | $0.410 | $41.43 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 100.17 | $0.462 | $46.32 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 45.47 | $0.470 | $21.37 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 19.73 | $0.420 | $8.29 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 32.29 | $0.630 | $20.34 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.900 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.89 | $0.976 | $11.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.55 | $0.950 | $7.17 | 1d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 215.07 | $0.700 | $150.55 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.972 | $21.38 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.840 | $4.88 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.900 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.72 | $0.220 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.31 | $0.190 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 267.73 | $0.840 | $224.89 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.76 | $0.770 | $7.52 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 162.69 | $0.520 | $84.6 | 1d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 222.19 | $0.870 | $193.31 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.130 | $4.33 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | buy | 19.98 | $0.920 | $18.38 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 8.92 | $0.500 | $4.46 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.87 | $0.770 | $9.91 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.277 | $2.22 | 1d ago |