Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 460 | $0.380 | $174.8 | Feb 22, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 460 |
| $0.440 |
| $202.4 |
| Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.250 | $32.5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 230 | $0.730 | $167.9 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.740 | $170.2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.710 | $170.4 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.700 | $168 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 180 | $0.952 | $171.36 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 180 | $0.945 | $170.1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 160 | $0.870 | $139.2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 198.5 | $0.150 | $29.78 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 160 | $0.870 | $139.2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.260 | $33.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.961 | $96.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 195.3 | $0.009 | $1.76 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 198.5 | $0.180 | $35.73 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 199.83 | $0.240 | $47.96 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 60.1 | $0.830 | $49.88 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 195.3 | $0.014 | $2.71 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 199.83 | $0.180 | $35.97 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 19.8 | $0.840 | $16.63 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 50.3 | $0.840 | $42.25 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.199 | $25.84 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 128 | $0.949 | $121.47 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 20?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 OpenSea token announcement in 2024?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.369 | $5.54 | Nov 25, 2024 |