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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.86 | $0.958 | $0.84 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 4 | $0.860 | $3.44 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 23 |
| $0.964 |
| $22.17 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.810 | $21.87 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 28 | $0.860 | $24.08 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 32 | $0.860 | $27.52 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.140 | $5.18 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.490 | $5.39 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.470 | $5.17 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.033 | $0.46 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.160 | $5.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.160 | $5.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 28 | $0.440 | $12.32 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.938 | $25.33 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.941 | $25.41 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.181 | $6.52 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 60 | $0.430 | $25.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 60 | $0.440 | $26.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 20.14 | $0.958 | $19.29 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 31 | $0.958 | $29.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.986 | $29.58 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.986 | $29.58 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.500 | $9 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 27 | $0.978 | $26.41 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.979 | $26.43 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 28 | $0.950 | $26.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.950 | $26.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.758 | $26.53 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.310 | $24.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.570 | $30.21 | May 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 31 | $0.965 | $29.92 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.966 | $29.95 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 70 | $0.430 | $30.1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 70 | $0.430 | $30.1 | May 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.540 | $2.59 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.959 | $29.73 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.959 | $29.73 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.223 | $16.28 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.051 | $2.4 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 85 | $0.430 | $36.55 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 85 | $0.430 | $36.55 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 13.92 | $0.300 | $4.18 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.300 | $10.8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.977 | $35.17 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.730 | $35.77 | May 23, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.965 | $35.71 | May 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.965 | $35.71 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.250 | $9 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.260 | $6.24 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.780 | $11.7 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.750 | $34.5 | May 21, 2026 |