Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 168.52 | $0.991 | $167.17 | +$0.17 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 44.45 | $0.990 | $44 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 161.13 |
| $0.993 |
| $160.08 |
| +$0.08 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? | No | 44.45 | $0.990 | $43.78 | -$0.22 |
| buy |
| 161.13 |
| $0.993 |
| $160 |
| 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 168.52 | $0.991 | $167 | 7d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 171.03 | $0.994 | $170 | 18d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200.8 | $0.996 | $200 | 18d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 120.97 | $0.992 | $120 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 111.41 | $0.987 | $110 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 123.33 | $0.973 | $120 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?No | buy | 112.24 | $0.980 | $110 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 121.47 | $0.988 | $120 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 123.86 | $0.985 | $122 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 239.13 | $0.920 | $220 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 203.67 | $0.982 | $200 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | buy | 151.67 | $0.989 | $150 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No | buy | 191.92 | $0.990 | $190 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 152.59 | $0.983 | $150 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 1?Up | buy | 193.32 | $0.980 | $189.45 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on March 27?Down | buy | 153.19 | $0.979 | $149.97 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 161.94 | $0.988 | $160 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 176.29 | $0.987 | $174 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.90 February 2-8?No | buy | 149.2 | $0.992 | $148.01 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?No | buy | 181.54 | $0.986 | $179 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 317.3 | $0.977 | $310 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?Yes | buy | 153.95 | $0.974 | $150 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 168.53 | $0.985 | $166 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 193.88 | $0.980 | $190 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 120.6 | $0.995 | $120 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 US strikes Nigeria by November 30?No | buy | 300.73 | $0.998 | $300 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025No | buy | 264.23 | $0.984 | $260 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Which party wins Virginia House of Delegates?Democratic | buy | 25.05 | $0.998 | $25 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 28?No | buy | 301.6 | $0.995 | $300 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?No | buy | 58.29 | $0.995 | $58 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on October 13?No | buy | 234.52 | $0.985 | $231 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 $YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?No | buy | 187.05 | $0.973 | $182 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No | buy | 111.45 | $0.987 | $110 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $123K on August 12 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 162.44 | $0.985 | $160 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No | buy | 111.45 | $0.996 | $111 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 18?Up | buy | 267.88 | $0.993 | $266 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on July 16?No | buy | 269.08 | $0.996 | $268 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 130.26 | $0.998 | $130 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-79?Yes | buy | 21.02 | $0.999 | $21 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 110.33 | $0.997 | $110 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?No | buy | 228.23 | $0.999 | $228 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 160.16 | $0.999 | $160 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the Oakland mayoral race?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?No | buy | 270.41 | $0.980 | $265 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Ripple above $2.35 on February 14?Yes | buy | 270.54 | $0.998 | $270 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 233.7 | $0.997 | $233 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 303.67 | $0.959 | $291.22 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 22.2 | $0.991 | $22 | Nov 7, 2024 |